US Election 2024: The road to the magic number of 270 goes through these swing states. The method is as follows

2024 US Elections: According to US media reports, when polls in several US states ended on November 5, former President Donald Trump led by 204 votes and Kamala Harris trailed by 112 votes, making the race to win the White House a close one.

A candidate must win at least 270 Electoral College votes to become president of the United States, regardless of the popular vote he or she receives. Electoral votes are distributed among the 50 states based on population.

In the past six presidential elections, 36 of the 50 states voted for the same party. So the results in these states were more or less as expected. According to US media reports, judging from past campaign trends, Harris received 226 electoral votes at the start, while Trump received 219 electoral votes.

Battle comes down to swing states

In this case, the fight will come down to swing or battleground states where voters have changed their preferences in the past, affecting the outcome of the election. There are seven swing states in this election. These include Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, known as the Blue Wall states, and Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia, known as the Sun Belt states.

Overall, the Electoral College strength in these swing states is 93 votes. For Trump, 219 plus 93 also means an easy victory in the presidential election.

This explains the importance of the swing state. Obviously, the results in these states will go a long way in determining who becomes the 47th President of the United States, as the behavior of other states follows a certain pattern, barring setbacks.

As the trend unfolds, Trump leads in 19 states including Texas, Florida, Indiana, Kentucky, while Democrat Kamala Harris leads in New York, Vermont, New Jersey and six others. State leads.

Results in key battleground states have yet to be released.

The road to 270

The blue wall states – Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin – also known as the “Rust Belt” states – have traditionally been Democratic strongholds. The number of Electoral College members in the sub-belt states—Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina—is 49.

According to early trends in the US media, Harris is leading in Pennsylvania with 68.4% of the vote count, while Trump is far ahead in Georgia.

Pennsylvania is the largest swing state, with 19 electoral votes, and is key to both presidential candidates. Trump won Pennsylvania in 2016.

Winning Pennsylvania, the biggest swing state, would make things easier for both candidates.

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Winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin would give Harris 44 votes and help her reach the magic number of 270 votes. They have voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election but once between 1992 and 2020.

These states vote together. For example, when Republican Trump won the election in 2016, all three blue wall states voted for him.

If Harris loses the blue wall, she will rely on the Sunbelt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina. Those states have a combined 49 electoral votes, a number that will help her pass easily.

Even if Trump wins all the Sun Belt states, he will need some votes from the blue wall to break through the 270 majority.